Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →50.9%
Leverkusen
23.2%
Draw
25.9%
Hoffenheim
Expected Goals (xG)
1.98
Leverkusen
vs
1.38
Hoffenheim
Markets
BTTS65.2%
Over 0.595.8%
Over 1.585.6%
Over 2.565.2%
Over 3.543.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.2%
2-1
9.4%
2-0
6.8%
1-2
6.5%
2-2
6.5%
3-1
6.2%
1-0
6.2%
3-0
4.5%
3-2
4.3%
0-0
4.2%
0-1
4.1%
0-2
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).