Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →37.3%
Swindon
28.7%
Draw
33.9%
AFC Wimbledon
Expected Goals (xG)
1.08
Swindon
vs
1.02
AFC Wimbledon
Markets
BTTS41.7%
Over 0.588.4%
Over 1.561.5%
Over 2.535.1%
Over 3.516.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.8%
0-1
13.0%
1-1
12.9%
0-0
11.6%
2-1
7.3%
2-0
7.2%
1-2
6.9%
0-2
6.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-1
2.6%
3-0
2.6%
1-3
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).