Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →68.7%
Oldham
21.0%
Draw
10.3%
Ebbsfleet
Expected Goals (xG)
2.03
Oldham
vs
0.66
Ebbsfleet
Markets
BTTS42.8%
Over 0.592.5%
Over 1.575.8%
Over 2.550.4%
Over 3.528.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
14.0%
1-0
13.0%
1-1
9.9%
3-0
9.4%
2-1
9.2%
0-0
7.5%
3-1
6.3%
4-0
4.8%
0-1
3.7%
4-1
3.2%
2-2
3.1%
1-2
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).