Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →43.4%
Brescia
32.3%
Draw
24.3%
Sampdoria
Expected Goals (xG)
1.21
Brescia
vs
0.84
Sampdoria
Markets
BTTS41.2%
Over 0.585.9%
Over 1.562.1%
Over 2.533.7%
Over 3.515.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.4%
1-0
14.3%
0-0
14.1%
0-1
9.5%
2-0
9.4%
2-1
7.9%
1-2
5.5%
0-2
4.5%
3-0
3.8%
2-2
3.3%
3-1
3.2%
1-3
1.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).