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DHT: 11CSV

21 Jan 2024 · 14:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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18.0%
Sheffield United
22.2%
Draw
59.8%
West Ham

Expected Goals (xG)

1.17

Sheffield United

vs
2.22

West Ham

Markets

BTTS62.7%
Over 0.595.4%
Over 1.586.4%
Over 2.565.7%
Over 3.543.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
10.0%
1-2
9.7%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
7.2%
0-1
6.3%
0-3
6.1%
2-2
5.7%
2-1
5.1%
0-0
4.6%
2-3
4.2%
1-4
4.0%
0-4
3.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).