Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →58.8%
Varaždin
27.5%
Draw
13.6%
Šibenik
Expected Goals (xG)
1.59
Varaždin
vs
0.65
Šibenik
Markets
BTTS39.2%
Over 0.588.0%
Over 1.566.7%
Over 2.538.6%
Over 3.518.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.7%
2-0
13.5%
1-1
12.3%
0-0
12.0%
2-1
8.7%
3-0
7.1%
0-1
5.6%
3-1
4.6%
1-2
3.6%
4-0
2.8%
2-2
2.8%
0-2
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).