Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →86.9%
Lens
8.3%
Draw
4.8%
St Etienne
Expected Goals (xG)
3.45
Lens
vs
0.76
St Etienne
Markets
BTTS51.1%
Over 0.598.7%
Over 1.592.0%
Over 2.579.1%
Over 3.560.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0
10.2%
2-0
8.9%
4-0
8.8%
3-1
7.7%
2-1
6.7%
4-1
6.7%
5-0
6.1%
1-0
5.4%
5-1
4.6%
1-1
3.7%
3-2
2.9%
2-2
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).