⚽ FootballData
2 – 2
D

02 Aug 2025 · 14:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

View all models →
51.2%
Eastwood Community
27.3%
Draw
21.5%
Gresley

Expected Goals (xG)

1.35

Eastwood Community

vs
0.76

Gresley

Markets

BTTS39.1%
Over 0.588.3%
Over 1.562.0%
Over 2.535.4%
Over 3.516.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
16.7%
1-1
12.1%
0-0
11.7%
2-0
11.0%
0-1
9.6%
2-1
8.4%
3-0
5.0%
1-2
4.7%
3-1
3.8%
0-2
3.5%
2-2
3.2%
4-0
1.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).