Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →61.9%
Sunderland
27.0%
Draw
11.1%
Leicester
Expected Goals (xG)
1.62
Sunderland
vs
0.56
Leicester
Markets
BTTS35.6%
Over 0.587.2%
Over 1.565.3%
Over 2.537.0%
Over 3.517.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
17.0%
2-0
14.9%
0-0
12.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-1
8.3%
3-0
8.0%
0-1
4.9%
3-1
4.5%
4-0
3.2%
1-2
2.9%
2-2
2.3%
4-1
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).