Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →61.8%
PAOK
26.1%
Draw
12.1%
Aris
Expected Goals (xG)
1.63
PAOK
vs
0.58
Aris
Markets
BTTS36.5%
Over 0.588.1%
Over 1.565.8%
Over 2.538.0%
Over 3.518.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
16.9%
2-0
14.5%
0-0
11.9%
1-1
11.4%
2-1
8.5%
3-0
7.9%
0-1
5.4%
3-1
4.6%
4-0
3.2%
1-2
3.0%
2-2
2.5%
0-2
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).