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25 Nov 2024 · 18:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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30.4%
Puszcza Niepołomice
26.6%
Draw
43.0%
Widzew Lodz

Expected Goals (xG)

1.30

Puszcza Niepołomice

vs
1.58

Widzew Lodz

Markets

BTTS58.8%
Over 0.593.4%
Over 1.579.2%
Over 2.554.9%
Over 3.532.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.5%
1-2
9.1%
0-1
7.9%
2-1
7.5%
0-2
7.0%
0-0
6.6%
1-0
6.3%
2-2
5.9%
1-3
4.8%
2-0
4.7%
0-3
3.7%
3-1
3.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).