Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →73.5%
Venezia
17.9%
Draw
8.6%
Ternana
Expected Goals (xG)
2.36
Venezia
vs
0.70
Ternana
Markets
BTTS46.5%
Over 0.594.5%
Over 1.581.7%
Over 2.559.0%
Over 3.536.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
13.0%
1-0
10.3%
3-0
10.2%
2-1
9.2%
1-1
8.5%
3-1
7.2%
4-0
6.0%
0-0
5.5%
4-1
4.2%
2-2
3.2%
5-0
2.8%
1-2
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).