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DHT: 22CSV

12 May 2017

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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46.8%
Orleans
26.1%
Draw
27.1%
Clermont

Expected Goals (xG)

1.31

Orleans

vs
0.91

Clermont

Markets

BTTS42.7%
Over 0.590.3%
Over 1.564.1%
Over 2.538.4%
Over 3.518.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
15.2%
1-1
11.9%
0-1
10.9%
0-0
9.7%
2-0
9.3%
2-1
8.5%
1-2
5.9%
0-2
4.5%
3-0
4.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-1
3.7%
1-3
1.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).