⚽ FootballData
1 – 4
AHT: 02

05 Nov 2024 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

View all models →
24.2%
Queens Park Rangers
26.0%
Draw
49.8%
Middlesbrough

Expected Goals (xG)

1.12

Queens Park Rangers

vs
1.69

Middlesbrough

Markets

BTTS55.9%
Over 0.593.0%
Over 1.578.0%
Over 2.553.3%
Over 3.531.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.3%
1-2
9.6%
0-1
9.2%
0-2
8.6%
0-0
7.0%
2-1
6.4%
1-0
5.8%
1-3
5.4%
2-2
5.4%
0-3
4.9%
2-0
3.8%
2-3
3.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).