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AHT: 01CSV

23 Dec 2023 · 11:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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11.8%
Frosinone
16.8%
Draw
71.4%
Juventus

Expected Goals (xG)

0.86

Frosinone

vs
2.38

Juventus

Markets

BTTS52.0%
Over 0.596.2%
Over 1.583.2%
Over 2.562.8%
Over 3.540.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-2
11.1%
1-2
9.5%
0-1
9.5%
0-3
8.8%
1-1
7.9%
1-3
7.6%
0-4
5.3%
1-4
4.5%
2-2
4.1%
0-0
3.8%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
3.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).