Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →37.0%
Bristol City
30.1%
Draw
32.8%
Swansea
Expected Goals (xG)
1.22
Bristol City
vs
1.14
Swansea
Markets
BTTS49.0%
Over 0.589.4%
Over 1.569.4%
Over 2.542.0%
Over 3.521.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.2%
0-0
10.6%
1-0
10.4%
0-1
9.6%
2-1
8.0%
1-2
7.5%
2-0
7.1%
0-2
6.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-1
3.3%
3-0
2.9%
1-3
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).