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16 Dec 2023 · 15:15

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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31.1%
Andorra
28.7%
Draw
40.2%
Espanol

Expected Goals (xG)

1.01

Andorra

vs
1.19

Espanol

Markets

BTTS44.1%
Over 0.589.1%
Over 1.564.4%
Over 2.537.7%
Over 3.518.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
13.3%
1-1
13.2%
1-0
11.3%
0-0
10.9%
1-2
7.9%
0-2
7.9%
2-1
6.7%
2-0
5.6%
2-2
4.0%
1-3
3.1%
0-3
3.1%
3-1
2.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).