Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →22.9%
Osnabruck
24.8%
Draw
52.3%
Dresden
Expected Goals (xG)
1.17
Osnabruck
vs
1.85
Dresden
Markets
BTTS59.1%
Over 0.594.1%
Over 1.581.4%
Over 2.558.1%
Over 3.535.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.6%
1-2
9.8%
0-2
8.4%
0-1
8.0%
2-1
6.2%
1-3
6.0%
0-0
5.9%
2-2
5.7%
0-3
5.2%
1-0
4.7%
2-3
3.5%
2-0
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).