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03 Aug 2024 · 14:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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5.7%
Club Brugge
9.9%
Draw
84.4%
Hednesford Town

Expected Goals (xG)

0.76

Club Brugge

vs
3.20

Hednesford Town

Markets

BTTS50.8%
Over 0.598.2%
Over 1.590.4%
Over 2.575.5%
Over 3.555.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-3
10.5%
0-2
9.8%
0-4
8.4%
1-3
7.9%
1-2
7.4%
1-4
6.3%
0-1
6.3%
0-5
5.4%
1-1
4.5%
1-5
4.1%
2-3
3.0%
2-2
2.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).