Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →31.8%
Maidstone
27.8%
Draw
40.4%
Dover Athletic
Expected Goals (xG)
1.25
Maidstone
vs
1.43
Dover Athletic
Markets
BTTS55.3%
Over 0.592.1%
Over 1.575.8%
Over 2.550.2%
Over 3.528.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.3%
0-1
8.8%
1-2
8.8%
0-0
7.9%
2-1
7.6%
1-0
7.5%
0-2
7.0%
2-2
5.5%
2-0
5.3%
1-3
4.2%
0-3
3.4%
3-1
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).