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03 Aug 2025 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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16.2%
Karpaty
24.3%
Draw
59.4%
Polissya Zhytomyr

Expected Goals (xG)

0.77

Karpaty

vs
1.70

Polissya Zhytomyr

Markets

BTTS44.1%
Over 0.591.2%
Over 1.570.9%
Over 2.544.8%
Over 3.523.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
14.1%
0-2
12.3%
1-1
11.4%
1-2
9.4%
0-0
8.8%
0-3
7.0%
1-0
6.2%
1-3
5.3%
2-1
4.2%
2-2
3.6%
0-4
3.0%
2-0
2.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).