Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →39.8%
Mirandes
27.7%
Draw
32.6%
Logrones
Expected Goals (xG)
1.25
Mirandes
vs
1.10
Logrones
Markets
BTTS47.4%
Over 0.590.5%
Over 1.567.8%
Over 2.541.6%
Over 3.521.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.0%
1-0
12.1%
0-1
10.7%
0-0
9.5%
2-1
8.2%
2-0
7.4%
1-2
7.2%
0-2
5.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-1
3.4%
3-0
3.1%
1-3
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).