Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →70.1%
Fulham
18.9%
Draw
11.0%
Ipswich
Expected Goals (xG)
2.45
Fulham
vs
0.91
Ipswich
Markets
BTTS55.8%
Over 0.595.5%
Over 1.586.0%
Over 2.565.3%
Over 3.543.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
10.4%
2-1
9.5%
1-1
8.8%
3-0
8.5%
3-1
7.8%
1-0
7.4%
4-0
5.2%
4-1
4.8%
0-0
4.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-2
3.5%
1-2
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).