Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →51.6%
Leganes
27.4%
Draw
21.0%
Eldense
Expected Goals (xG)
1.39
Leganes
vs
0.77
Eldense
Markets
BTTS40.2%
Over 0.588.6%
Over 1.563.4%
Over 2.536.6%
Over 3.517.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
16.1%
1-1
12.2%
0-0
11.4%
2-0
11.1%
0-1
9.0%
2-1
8.6%
3-0
5.1%
1-2
4.8%
3-1
4.0%
0-2
3.4%
2-2
3.3%
4-0
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).