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30 Sept 2023 · 18:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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60.0%
Angers
20.9%
Draw
19.2%
Concarneau

Expected Goals (xG)

1.83

Angers

vs
0.91

Concarneau

Markets

BTTS49.2%
Over 0.594.4%
Over 1.575.0%
Over 2.551.6%
Over 3.529.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
12.7%
2-0
10.8%
1-1
9.9%
2-1
9.8%
0-1
6.7%
3-0
6.6%
3-1
6.0%
0-0
5.6%
1-2
4.9%
2-2
4.5%
4-0
3.0%
4-1
2.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).