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29 Mar 2025 · 14:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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25.1%
Venezia
27.2%
Draw
47.7%
Bologna

Expected Goals (xG)

0.90

Venezia

vs
1.36

Bologna

Markets

BTTS44.0%
Over 0.589.8%
Over 1.565.8%
Over 2.539.4%
Over 3.519.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
14.4%
1-1
12.6%
0-0
10.2%
0-2
9.6%
1-0
9.6%
1-2
8.7%
2-1
5.8%
0-3
4.4%
2-0
4.2%
1-3
3.9%
2-2
3.9%
2-3
1.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).