Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →48.0%
Girona
27.4%
Draw
24.6%
Sabadell
Expected Goals (xG)
1.36
Girona
vs
0.89
Sabadell
Markets
BTTS43.7%
Over 0.589.6%
Over 1.565.7%
Over 2.539.2%
Over 3.519.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.4%
1-1
12.6%
0-0
10.4%
2-0
9.8%
0-1
9.5%
2-1
8.7%
1-2
5.7%
3-0
4.4%
0-2
4.2%
3-1
3.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-2
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).