Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →36.5%
Queens Park Rangers
27.6%
Draw
35.8%
Birmingham
Expected Goals (xG)
1.38
Queens Park Rangers
vs
1.36
Birmingham
Markets
BTTS56.6%
Over 0.592.5%
Over 1.576.8%
Over 2.551.6%
Over 3.529.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.1%
2-1
8.3%
1-2
8.3%
1-0
7.9%
0-1
7.8%
0-0
7.5%
2-0
6.1%
0-2
6.0%
2-2
5.7%
3-1
3.8%
1-3
3.7%
3-0
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).