Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →71.0%
Juventus
17.9%
Draw
11.1%
Spal
Expected Goals (xG)
2.17
Juventus
vs
0.72
Spal
Markets
BTTS45.2%
Over 0.594.6%
Over 1.578.2%
Over 2.555.2%
Over 3.532.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
13.1%
1-0
12.2%
3-0
9.5%
2-1
9.4%
1-1
8.5%
3-1
6.8%
0-0
5.4%
4-0
5.2%
0-1
4.1%
4-1
3.7%
2-2
3.4%
1-2
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).