Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →61.5%
Holstein Kiel
23.6%
Draw
14.9%
Osnabruck
Expected Goals (xG)
1.91
Holstein Kiel
vs
0.84
Osnabruck
Markets
BTTS49.3%
Over 0.592.6%
Over 1.576.9%
Over 2.551.7%
Over 3.529.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
11.7%
1-1
11.3%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-0
7.4%
0-0
7.4%
3-1
6.2%
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.3%
2-2
4.1%
4-0
3.5%
4-1
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).