Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →36.4%
Oviedo
32.8%
Draw
30.9%
Las Palmas
Expected Goals (xG)
0.94
Oviedo
vs
0.84
Las Palmas
Markets
BTTS34.5%
Over 0.583.3%
Over 1.553.0%
Over 2.526.4%
Over 3.510.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
16.7%
1-0
16.0%
0-1
14.3%
1-1
13.2%
2-0
7.5%
2-1
6.3%
0-2
6.0%
1-2
5.6%
2-2
2.6%
3-0
2.3%
3-1
2.0%
0-3
1.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).