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05 Oct 2024 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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64.1%
Wycombe
18.6%
Draw
17.3%
Crawley Town

Expected Goals (xG)

2.10

Wycombe

vs
0.97

Crawley Town

Markets

BTTS53.7%
Over 0.596.2%
Over 1.580.3%
Over 2.559.2%
Over 3.536.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
10.5%
2-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
1-1
8.7%
3-0
7.2%
3-1
6.9%
0-1
5.3%
2-2
4.8%
1-2
4.6%
0-0
3.8%
4-0
3.8%
4-1
3.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).