Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →40.7%
Dag and Red
30.7%
Draw
28.6%
Hartlepool
Expected Goals (xG)
1.24
Dag and Red
vs
1.00
Hartlepool
Markets
BTTS46.1%
Over 0.588.3%
Over 1.566.7%
Over 2.538.9%
Over 3.519.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.3%
1-0
12.1%
0-0
11.7%
0-1
9.5%
2-1
8.2%
2-0
8.2%
1-2
6.6%
0-2
5.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-1
3.4%
3-0
3.4%
1-3
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).