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AHT: 00CSV

29 Feb 2020 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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8.0%
Ebbsfleet
17.5%
Draw
74.5%
Stockport

Expected Goals (xG)

0.66

Ebbsfleet

vs
2.34

Stockport

Markets

BTTS44.1%
Over 0.594.4%
Over 1.580.7%
Over 2.557.6%
Over 3.535.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-2
13.7%
0-1
11.1%
0-3
10.7%
1-2
9.0%
1-1
8.3%
1-3
7.0%
0-4
6.2%
0-0
5.6%
1-4
4.1%
2-2
2.9%
0-5
2.9%
1-0
2.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).