Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →51.5%
Stevenage
27.0%
Draw
21.5%
Cambridge
Expected Goals (xG)
1.29
Stevenage
vs
0.71
Cambridge
Markets
BTTS35.8%
Over 0.587.5%
Over 1.558.3%
Over 2.532.3%
Over 3.514.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
18.5%
0-0
12.5%
1-1
11.3%
2-0
11.3%
0-1
10.6%
2-1
8.0%
3-0
4.9%
1-2
4.4%
3-1
3.4%
0-2
3.4%
2-2
2.8%
4-0
1.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).