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HHT: 10CSV

23 Feb 2024 · 19:30

Oviedo

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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25.3%
Valladolid
26.8%
Draw
48.0%
Oviedo

Expected Goals (xG)

0.94

Valladolid

vs
1.41

Oviedo

Markets

BTTS46.0%
Over 0.590.6%
Over 1.568.0%
Over 2.541.8%
Over 3.521.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
13.5%
1-1
12.5%
0-2
9.5%
0-0
9.4%
1-0
9.1%
1-2
8.9%
2-1
6.0%
0-3
4.5%
2-0
4.2%
2-2
4.2%
1-3
4.2%
2-3
2.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).