Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →36.3%
Dresden
24.3%
Draw
39.3%
Kaiserslautern
Expected Goals (xG)
1.68
Dresden
vs
1.75
Kaiserslautern
Markets
BTTS68.2%
Over 0.595.9%
Over 1.586.6%
Over 2.566.7%
Over 3.544.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.4%
1-2
8.3%
2-1
8.0%
2-2
7.0%
0-2
5.0%
1-3
4.9%
0-1
4.7%
2-0
4.6%
1-0
4.5%
3-1
4.5%
0-0
4.1%
2-3
4.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).