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DHT: 11CSV

12 Mar 2019

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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17.0%
Dover Athletic
21.1%
Draw
61.9%
Boreham Wood

Expected Goals (xG)

1.10

Dover Athletic

vs
2.22

Boreham Wood

Markets

BTTS60.2%
Over 0.595.6%
Over 1.585.1%
Over 2.564.4%
Over 3.542.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-2
9.8%
1-1
9.6%
0-2
8.9%
0-1
7.3%
1-3
7.2%
0-3
6.6%
2-2
5.4%
2-1
4.9%
0-0
4.4%
1-4
4.0%
2-3
4.0%
0-4
3.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).