Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →56.3%
Sociedad B
22.6%
Draw
21.1%
Fuenlabrada
Expected Goals (xG)
1.83
Sociedad B
vs
1.03
Fuenlabrada
Markets
BTTS53.9%
Over 0.594.4%
Over 1.577.8%
Over 2.554.5%
Over 3.532.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.7%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6.0%
0-1
6.0%
3-0
5.9%
0-0
5.6%
1-2
5.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-2
3.1%
0-2
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).