Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →58.7%
Arouca
21.1%
Draw
20.2%
Boavista
Expected Goals (xG)
1.92
Arouca
vs
1.02
Boavista
Markets
BTTS54.2%
Over 0.595.2%
Over 1.578.8%
Over 2.556.4%
Over 3.534.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
1-1
9.9%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6.4%
3-0
6.2%
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.3%
2-2
5.1%
0-0
4.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-1
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).