Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →13.7%
Plymouth
18.6%
Draw
67.7%
Coventry
Expected Goals (xG)
1.06
Plymouth
vs
2.47
Coventry
Markets
BTTS60.3%
Over 0.596.4%
Over 1.587.3%
Over 2.568.4%
Over 3.546.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-2
9.5%
0-2
9.0%
1-1
8.3%
1-3
7.8%
0-3
7.4%
0-1
6.6%
2-2
5.0%
1-4
4.8%
0-4
4.6%
2-3
4.1%
2-1
4.0%
0-0
3.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).