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26 Aug 2023 · 18:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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42.6%
Tenerife
31.7%
Draw
25.7%
Zaragoza

Expected Goals (xG)

1.07

Tenerife

vs
0.76

Zaragoza

Markets

BTTS34.8%
Over 0.584.1%
Over 1.554.5%
Over 2.527.7%
Over 3.511.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
17.3%
0-0
15.9%
1-1
12.9%
0-1
12.3%
2-0
9.2%
2-1
7.0%
1-2
4.9%
0-2
4.6%
3-0
3.3%
2-2
2.6%
3-1
2.5%
1-3
1.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).