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09 Aug 2025 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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27.6%
Boreham Wood
27.7%
Draw
44.7%
Rochdale

Expected Goals (xG)

1.14

Boreham Wood

vs
1.51

Rochdale

Markets

BTTS53.9%
Over 0.591.9%
Over 1.575.1%
Over 2.549.2%
Over 3.527.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.2%
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9.2%
0-0
8.1%
0-2
8.1%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
6.9%
2-2
5.2%
1-3
4.6%
2-0
4.6%
0-3
4.0%
3-1
2.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).