Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →35.3%
Almeria
23.5%
Draw
41.2%
Sociedad
Expected Goals (xG)
1.59
Almeria
vs
1.74
Sociedad
Markets
BTTS66.0%
Over 0.596.1%
Over 1.584.8%
Over 2.564.6%
Over 3.542.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.2%
1-2
8.6%
2-1
7.9%
2-2
6.9%
0-1
5.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-0
5.4%
1-3
5.0%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
4.2%
2-3
4.0%
0-0
3.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).