Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →56.4%
Ellistown & Ibstock Utd.
32.8%
Draw
10.8%
Takeley
Expected Goals (xG)
1.10
Ellistown & Ibstock Utd.
vs
0.31
Takeley
Markets
BTTS17.8%
Over 0.576.1%
Over 1.541.2%
Over 2.517.1%
Over 3.55.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
27.0%
0-0
23.9%
2-0
14.7%
1-1
8.1%
0-1
7.9%
3-0
5.4%
2-1
4.6%
3-1
1.7%
4-0
1.5%
1-2
1.3%
0-2
1.2%
2-2
0.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).