Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →50.9%
Brest
27.8%
Draw
21.3%
Auxerre
Expected Goals (xG)
1.28
Brest
vs
0.71
Auxerre
Markets
BTTS36.0%
Over 0.587.0%
Over 1.558.4%
Over 2.532.1%
Over 3.514.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
18.2%
0-0
13.0%
1-1
11.7%
2-0
11.2%
0-1
10.4%
2-1
8.0%
3-0
4.8%
1-2
4.4%
0-2
3.4%
3-1
3.4%
2-2
2.8%
4-0
1.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).