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HHT: 10CSV

30 Apr 2023 · 13:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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28.5%
Cadiz
33.4%
Draw
38.2%
Valencia

Expected Goals (xG)

0.82

Cadiz

vs
1.00

Valencia

Markets

BTTS35.9%
Over 0.583.4%
Over 1.554.8%
Over 2.527.5%
Over 3.511.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-0
16.6%
0-1
15.7%
1-1
13.7%
1-0
12.8%
0-2
8.1%
1-2
6.6%
2-1
5.5%
2-0
5.5%
2-2
2.7%
0-3
2.7%
1-3
2.2%
3-1
1.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).