Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →24.4%
Cittadella
33.8%
Draw
41.9%
Sudtirol
Expected Goals (xG)
0.79
Cittadella
vs
1.12
Sudtirol
Markets
BTTS37.9%
Over 0.583.8%
Over 1.558.0%
Over 2.529.7%
Over 3.512.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
16.2%
0-1
15.4%
1-1
14.4%
1-0
10.4%
0-2
9.3%
1-2
7.3%
2-1
5.1%
2-0
4.6%
0-3
3.5%
2-2
2.9%
1-3
2.7%
3-1
1.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).