Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →80.4%
Brighton
13.4%
Draw
6.1%
Sheffield United
Expected Goals (xG)
2.97
Brighton
vs
0.79
Sheffield United
Markets
BTTS52.5%
Over 0.596.9%
Over 1.589.7%
Over 2.572.5%
Over 3.551.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
10.3%
3-0
10.2%
2-1
8.1%
3-1
8.0%
4-0
7.6%
1-1
6.2%
1-0
6.2%
4-1
6.0%
5-0
4.5%
5-1
3.5%
2-2
3.2%
3-2
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).