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24 Jan 2026 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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32.4%
Sheffield United
27.5%
Draw
40.1%
Ipswich

Expected Goals (xG)

1.29

Sheffield United

vs
1.46

Ipswich

Markets

BTTS56.6%
Over 0.592.6%
Over 1.577.0%
Over 2.551.8%
Over 3.529.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.1%
1-2
8.8%
0-1
8.3%
2-1
7.8%
0-0
7.4%
1-0
7.3%
0-2
6.8%
2-2
5.7%
2-0
5.3%
1-3
4.3%
3-1
3.3%
0-3
3.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).